Market Awaits Nvidia Earnings as Tech Rally Hangs in Balance

Futures held flat ahead of Nvidia's pivotal earnings report, with the chipmaker's $4 trillion valuation now serving as a barometer for broader market sentiment. Analysts anticipate $46.2 billion in Q2 revenue - a 54% year-over-year jump, though notably slower than previous AI-driven surges.

Options markets price in a potential $260 billion valuation swing post-earnings, reflecting Nvidia's disproportionate influence as the S&P500's largest component. The stock's 44% annual gain has made it both a catalyst and casualty of the AI trade's volatility.

Geopolitical crosscurrents loom large, with U.S.-China policy shifts forcing Nvidia to navigate export controls while maintaining its technological edge. The earnings call may reveal how effectively the company is adapting its China strategy.